Our latest work from the Young Think Tankers examines the recent and ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz and its severe impact on global fertilizer supply chains, widely regarded as one of the most significant threats to global food security in recent decades. The report aims to analyse an often overlooked consequence of the closure, indeed, Hormuz Strait is fundamental not only for fossil fuels but also for fertilizers. In fact, the blockade exposed the extreme vulnerability of modern agriculture to maritime chokepoints, triggering a systemic shock across South Asia, Southeast Asia, and Sub-Saharan Africa. The report explores the convergence of logistical disruption with China’s resource nationalism, the asymmetric economic effects on developing countries, and the broader implications for food prices, agricultural competitiveness, and migration pressures across Europe and beyond. It also highlights how global food security has become inextricably linked to geopolitical and maritime stability, requiring a fundamental reassessment of supply chain resilience and strategic autonomy.
Have a read below.